A new draft of What Do We Think? Divining the Public Wisdom to Guide Sustainability Decisions is now available. Download PDF
Archive for the ‘Decision Making’ Category
What Do We Think? available
Posted in Collective Wisdom, Decision Making, Deliberation, Deliberative Polling, Opinion, Sustainability, Wisdom of Crowds on November 17, 2011 | Leave a Comment »
Dialogue mapping for business decision making
Posted in Decision Making, Dialogue Mapping, IBIS, Wicked Problems on August 9, 2011 | 1 Comment »
In a recent post to his excellent blog, Kailash Awati writes (and I quote at length) As regular readers of this blog will know, I am a fan of dialogue mapping, a conversation mapping technique pioneered by Jeff Conklin. Those unfamiliar with the technique will find a super-quick introduction here. Dialogue mapping uses a visual notation [...]
Elements of a major business decision
Posted in Argument, Boards, Business, Decision Making, Deliberation, Evidence-based decision on December 9, 2010 | 6 Comments »
The crime of murder has a set of elements – key things which must be established. Similarly, there are elements for major business decisions.
Bitten by assumptions
Posted in Argument, Assumptions, Business, Decision Making on November 29, 2010 | Leave a Comment »
Two recent articles in the business press underscore the importance of unearthing and challenging the assumptions which are shoring up your inferences. They also provide fascinating insights more generally into organisational decision, a topic which always becomes more interesting when things go badly wrong. The first, Potash: The deal that didn’t have to die appeared in [...]
Decisions in Organisations – Four Kinds
Posted in Decision Making, Deliberation on November 3, 2010 | 3 Comments »
Decisions come in many different kinds. When thinking about decisions in large organisations, it is useful to distinguish the Intuitive, the Technical, the Deliberative, and the Bureaucratic.
On Being Thoroughly Evidence-Based
Posted in Decision Making, Evidence, Evidence-based decision, Expertise, Medical decision making on September 6, 2010 | 2 Comments »
A favorite Dilbert cartoon from a few years back has one character at a restaurant smugly insisting to his dining partner that he would never be so stupid as to provide his credit card details online. Meanwhile he is paying the bill by handing his credit card to a waiter who disappears with it, supposedly only [...]
How to think about a job offer
Posted in Decision Making, Decision mapping, Deliberation, Moral algebra on August 13, 2010 | Leave a Comment »
In his recent post “To accept or to decline: mapping life’s little dilemmas using IBIS“, Kailash Awati provides a nice case study of using mapping to make a significant personal decision. Interestingly, the “little dilemma” in the case study is just the same kind of issue that was facing Joseph Priestley when he wrote to Benjamin Franklin [...]
Delinquency, wise and otherwise
Posted in Decision Making, Intuition, Statistics on April 7, 2010 | 1 Comment »
A version of my Quadrant essay ” The Wise Delinquency of Decision Makers” was recently broadcast on ABC Radio National’s Ockham’s Razor program. Audio and transcript available here. Robyn Williams, the great science journalist and host of Ockham’s Razor, introduced it thusly: I remember a few years ago being on a committee choosing some prize [...]
Enhancing Directors’ Decision Expertise
Posted in Boards, Decision Making, Expertise on February 4, 2010 | Leave a Comment »
The central responsibility, for Boards and for individual Directors, is to make good decisions. What can Directors do to improve their decision making ability? First, it is important to understand that decision making is a complex cognitive skill. It is not an innate talent that some people were granted at birth. Nor is it something [...]
Draft Introduction to Decision Mapping Book
Posted in Decision Making, Decision mapping, Decision Mapping Book, Deliberation, Moral algebra on October 22, 2009 | 7 Comments »
I’m currently working on a book on decision mapping (and more generally, deliberative decision making), tentatively called Draw the Right Conclusion!. I’ll be periodically releasing draft chapters. First cab off the rank is the Introduction. Comments and suggestions most welcome. Here are the opening paragraphs: In late 1772 Joseph Priestley was wrestling with a [...]
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